ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS OF EDUCATIONAL MIGRATION OF UKRAINIAN CITIZENS TO EUROPEAN COUNTRIES UNDER THE CONDITIONS OF FULL - SCALE WAR
Abstract
The article analyzes the dynamics of educational migration of Ukrainian citizens to European countries during the full-scale war. The events of 2022 triggered large migration flows that affected educational systems in EU countries. A significant share of forced migrants are school pupils and students, leading to new patterns of educational mobility and integration of Ukrainian learners into the European educational space. The study aims to identify key trends in educational migration and assess factors influencing the number of Ukrainian students in host countries. The empirical basis includes data from Eurostat, UNHCR, OECD and national statistics for 2022-2025. Correlation analysis and linear and multiple regression models are applied. The results show a positive relationship between school educational migration and the number of Ukrainian university students, indicating stable educational migration trajectories.
References
Li, T. (2025). Influence of brain drain in developing countries. Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, 203, pp. 64-69. URL:https://direct.ewa.pub/proceedings/aemps/article/view/25777 (accessed March 14, 2026)
Aydınbaş, G., Ünlüoğlu, M., & Tiske, B. (2025) Brain drain and the new dynamics of development: The human capital war in global competition. International Rize Trade and Economy Summit and Congress (Türkiye, Rize, October 22nd–23rd, 2025) (ed. Abdulmuttalip Pilatin). New York: Liberty Publishing House. URL:https://rte.edu.tr (accessed March 14, 2026)
Akyıldız, İ. E., Başkol, M. O., & Eryiğit, K. Y. (2025). The relationship between brain drain and human capital: Evidence from Turkey. International Journal of Manpower, 46(8), pp.1546-1562. URL:https://doi.org/10.1108/IJM-08-2024-0566 (accessed March 14, 2026)
Miller, L., Piga, G., & Serra, V. (2025) The relationship between human resources churning and human-capital flight (brain-drain) in developing nations. Available at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/398410078 (accessed March 13, 2026).
Nguyen T., Truong, D. T., Khanh Ly, D. K., & Quynh Anh, N. T. (eds.) (2025) Vietnam’s Social Mobility of Science and Technology Human Resource [Vietnam’s social mobility of science and technology human resource]. Singapore: Palgrave Macmillan.
Kohi, S. K. (2025) Factors of brain drain from the country and ways to prevent it. Journal of Social Sciences, vol. 20(1), pp. 367-378. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/390179043_Factors_of_brain_drain_from_the_country_and_ways_to_prevent_i (accessed March 13, 2026).
Singh, P. (2025) Brain drain and Indian society: A sociological study of causes, consequences, and policy perspectives. Integral Research, vol. 2(10), pp. 173-198. DOI: 10.57067/ir.v2.i10.417. (accessed March 14, 2026)
Mustika, M. D. S., & Yuliarmi, N. N. (2025) The determinants of the brain drain phenomenon in educational migration activities. Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan, vol. 17(1), pp. 76–89. DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2024.v17.i01.p06. (accessed March 14, 2026)
Radulović, M. (2025). Lost brilliance: The impact of brain drain on economic growth. In Eighth International Scientific Conference Contemporary Issues in Economics, Business and Management (EBM 2024) (pp. 197-207). Faculty of Economics, Kragujevac.URL: https://doi.org/10.46793/EBM24.197R
Nikolina, I. I., Makhnachova, N. M., & Kuzinska, V. A. (2024) Ukraine’s policy on brain drain in the wartime and post-war periods. Naukovyi Visnyk Natsionalnoho Hirnychoho Universytetu, no. 4, pp. 149–156. DOI: 10.33271/nvngu/2024-4/149. (accessed March 14, 2026)
Jansen, L., Bernstein, L., & Van Hecke, S. (2024) Navigating brain drain in the Western Balkans. European View, pp. 1-8. DOI: 10.1177/17816858241242881. (accessed March 14, 2026)
Batista, C., Han, D., Haushofer, J., Khanna, G., McKenzie, D., Mobarak, A. M., Theoharides, C., & Yang, D. (2025) Brain drain or brain gain? Effects of high-skilled international emigration on origin countries. Science, vol. 388(6749), eadr8861. DOI: 10.1126/science.adr8861. (accessed March 14, 2026)
Beine, M., Docquier, F., & Rapoport, H. (2008) Brain drain and human capital formation in developing countries: Winners and losers. The Economic Journal, vol. 118(528), pp. 631-652. DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0297.2008.02135.x. (accessed March 14, 2026)
Akbaritabar, A., Theile, T., & Zagheni, E. (2024) Bilateral flows and rates of international migration of scholars for 210 countries for the period 1998–2020. Scientific Data, vol. 11, article 816. DOI: 10.1038/s41597-024-03655-9. (accessed March 14, 2026)
Altbach, P. G. (2013) The international imperative in higher education. Global Perspectives on Higher Education, vol. 27. Rotterdam: Sense Publishers. DOI: 10.1007/978-94-6209-338-6. (accessed March 14, 2026)
Eurostat (2025) Migration and education statistics. Available at: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat (accessed March 13, 2026).
United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) (2025) UNHCR refugee data portal. Available at: https://data.unhcr.org (accessed March 13, 2026).
UNESCO Institute for Statistics (2025) Education data and statistics. Available at: https://uis.unesco.org (accessed March 13, 2026).
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) (2025) OECD education database. Available at: https://data.oecd.org (accessed March 13, 2026).
German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) (2024) Reports on international academic mobility and support for Ukrainian students and researchers. Available at: https://www.daad.de (accessed March 13, 2026).
European Commission (2024) MSCA4Ukraine: Support programme for displaced researchers from Ukraine. Available at: https://marie-sklodowska-curie-actions.ec.europa.eu (accessed March 13, 2026).
Scholars at Risk Network (2024) Support programmes for at-risk and displaced scholars. Available at: https://www.scholarsatrisk.org (accessed March 13, 2026).
Copyright (c) 2026 Марина Юрченко, Марина Пономаренко

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

