RISK-ORIENTED APPROACH TO MANAGING THE ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL SECURITY OF ENTERPRISES UNDER MARTIAL LAW

Abstract

The study focuses on analyzing environmental risks faced by industrial enterprises under martial law conditions. It systematically categorizes risks based on their sources, mechanisms of realization, and potential consequences, presenting a comprehensive classification. Specific threats were identified for various industrial sectors, including chemical, energy, and oil refining industries, highlighting their potential for regional and national environmental impacts. Five alternative strategies for managing economic and environmental security were developed: proactive, relocative, adaptive, minimalist, and innovative. Each strategy is tailored to specific operational conditions, with detailed advantages and limitations outlined. A multi-criteria analysis evaluated these strategies based on parameters such as environmental security, economic efficiency, technical feasibility, and adaptability, revealing the adaptive strategy as the most effective (scoring 8.0) due to its balance of security, cost-effectiveness, and flexibility. The relocative strategy, while ensuring the highest economic and environmental security, scored lower due to significant economic losses. A decision matrix was constructed to guide strategy selection based on the level of military threat and industry-specific factors, recommending adaptive strategies for most scenarios and evacuation for high-risk conflict zones. The findings provide a practical framework for industrial enterprises to mitigate environmental risks while maintaining operational viability, offering actionable recommendations for policymakers and industry leaders to enhance environmental resilience in wartime conditions.