PROBLEMS OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF UKRAINE'S FOREIGN TRADE IN THE CONDITIONS OF GLOBAL AND DOMESTIC SOCIO-ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATIONS
Abstract
The study of the article is related to the determination of trends and features of the development of Ukraine's foreign trade in the conditions of domestic and global socio-economic challenges caused by the Covid-19 pandemic and the intensified military actions of the Russian Federation in Ukraine. After analyzing the information of national statistics, it was determined that there will be a significant decrease in foreign trade indicators in 2020-2022. Dynamic changes in export and import also led to a significant decrease in the country's foreign trade turnover and an increase in the negative balance of foreign trade. Analysis of the structure of export and import of goods and services revealed a significant decrease in the sale of raw materials - agricultural products and metals, as well as a significant number of services, including a significant reduction in services for the processing of goods for the purpose of sale in the domestic economy, air and rail transport services, services, travel-related, construction services, insurance services, government and government services. Domestic and global socio-economic challenges stimulated the emergence of problems and obstacles for the development of foreign trade both in Ukraine and in the world. The war in Ukraine made the economic activity of many Ukrainian enterprises, including foreign market participants, impossible for a certain time, and changed the global structure of production and consumption of goods and services. Domestic enterprises are largely limited in the implementation of their economic activities due to the loss of property and locations in the zone of active hostilities, due to uncertainty and unwillingness of households to spend funds, due to a significant decrease in the population, which significantly reduced demand in the domestic market. Therefore, the volumes of export and import of goods and services between the domestic and foreign markets decreased significantly. an important direction for the restoration of domestic foreign trade should be the continuation of active cooperation with European countries and the implementation of intentions to join the European Union, as well as the growth of the representation of Ukraine's interests in African countries. The main directions of cooperation should be the promotion of world food security by promoting the development of Ukrainian agricultural production, regardless of the significant damage to agricultural lands and the conduct of military operations in regions with strong agricultural export potential.
References
Прогноз економічного та соціального розвитку України на 2022-2024 роки: Постанова КМУ «Про схвалення Прогнозу економічного і соціального України на 2022-2024 роки» №586 від 31.05.1986р. / Урядовий кур’єр №111 від 11.06.2021р.
Aid for Trade and the Sustainable Development Goals (2021) / OECD and World Trade Organization. URL: https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/sites/15569790-en/index.html?itemId=/content/component/15569790. (дата звернення 10.07.2023).
Динаміка географічної структури зовнішньої торгівлі товарами (1996-2022). URL: https://www.ukrstat.gov.ua (дата звернення 21.07.2023)
Товартна структура зовнішньої торгівлі у 2022 році / URL: http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua (дата звернення 4 листопада 2023 року).
WTO sees less sharp trade plunge, but more muted rebound. URL: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-trade-wto/wto-sees-less-sharp-trade-plunge-but-more-muted-rebound-idUSKBN26R289?il=0 (дата звернення 11 листопада 2023 року).
Перспективи світової економіки в 2023-2024 році. НІСД, дослідження. URL: https://niss.gov.ua/doslidzhennya/mizhnarodni-vidnosyny/perspektyvy-svitovoyi-ekonomiky-v-2023-2024-rokakh. (дата звернення 12 листопада 2023 року).
Prohnoz ekonomichnoho ta sotsialnoho rozvytku Ukrainy na 2022-2024 roky [Forecast of economic and social development of Ukraine for 2022-2024]: Postanova KMU «Pro skhvalennia Prohnozu ekonomichnoho i sotsialnoho Ukrainy na 2022-2024 roky» №586 vid 31.05.1986r. / Uriadovyi kurier №111 vid 11.06.2021r.
Aid for Trade and the Sustainable Development Goals (2021) / OECD and World Trade Organization. URL: https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/sites/15569790-en/index.html?itemId=/content/component/15569790. (data zvernennia 10.07.2023).
Dynamika heohrafichnoi struktury zovnishnoi torhivli tovaramy (1996-2021) [Dynamics of the geographic structure of foreign trade in goods (1996-2021)]. URL: https://www.ukrstat.gov.ua (data zvernennia 21.07.2023)
Tovarna struktura zovnishnoi torhivli za 2022 rik [Commodity structure of foreign trade in 2022] / URL: http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua (data zvernennia 4.11.2023 roku).
WTO sees less sharp trade plunge, but more muted rebound. URL: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-trade-wto/wto-sees-less-sharp-trade-plunge-but-more-muted-rebound-idUSKBN26R289?il=0 (data zvernennia 11.11. 2023 roku).
Perspektyvy svitovoi ekonomiky v 2023-2024 rotsi [Prospects of the world economy in 2023-2024]. NISD, doslidzhennia. URL: https://niss.gov.ua/doslidzhennya/mizhnarodni-vidnosyny/perspektyvy-svitovoyi-ekonomiky-v-2023-2024-rokakh. (data zvernennia 12.11. 2023 roku).
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.