DOLLARIZATION OF THE FINANCIAL MARKET OF UKRAINE IN THE CONDITIONS OF WAR

Keywords: dollarization, financial market, economic policy, bank lending, inflation, credit risks

Abstract

The article is devoted to the problem of dollarization of the financial market of Ukraine under martial law. The relevance of the study is due to the negative consequences caused by the high level of dollarization for the monetary policy and economy of the country. The purpose of the article is to show the peculiarities of the dollarization of the financial market of Ukraine in the conditions of war and to consider directions for solving this problem. To achieve this goal, the study solved a number of tasks: defined the concept and forms of dollarization, analyzed the state and peculiarities of dollarization in the conditions of war, proposed measures to stabilize the dollarization of the financial market to an acceptable level. The study used general scientific methods of cognition: the method of critical analysis, synthesis, induction and deduction. The study found that dollarization is an economic phenomenon in which the funds of other countries replace the functions of the national currency. The main forms of dollarization are dollarization of payments, real and financial dollarization. Against the background of hryvnia depreciation and the attempts of the population and business to preserve their savings, dollarization of the real market has increased significantly. At the same time, due to the reduced activity of the banking sector, the level of dollarization of the financial market is decreasing. In order to improve the situation in the real market, it is recommended to increase the yield rate in hryvnia on domestic government bonds. The state needs to return to an active foreign exchange policy, and the National Bank of Ukraine – to change business strategies in accordance with wartime and to revise the policy of credit risk recognition, which will allow to respond more quickly to changes in the military, political and economic environment. The practical significance of the study lies in the possibility of applying the results obtained by public authorities to develop measures to stabilize the level of dollarization of the financial market of Ukraine in the context of the Russian-Ukrainian war.

References

Шевченко К. Фінансово-економічна політика за воєнного часу. Кадровий експерт. 2022. URL: https://profpressa.com/news/irino-proponuiu-rozmistiti

Швайка М. Американський долар – головний винуватець провокатор фінансової кризи. Журнал верховної ради України «Віче». 2009. № 1–2. С. 3–6.

Ize A., Parrado E. Real Dollarization, Financial Dollarization, and MonetaryPolicy. Central Bank of Chile, Working Paper. 2006. № 375. URL: https://ideas.repec.org/p/chb/bcchwp/375.html

Basso Н., Calvo-Gonzalez O., Jurgilas M. Financial Dollarization: The Role of Banks and Interest Rates. ECB Working Paper Series. 2007. № 748 (May). 74 p.

Neanidis K., Savva C. Financial dollarization: Short-run determinants in transition economies. Journal of Banking & Finance. 2009. Vol. 33(10). P. 1860–1873.

Звіт про фінансову стабільність. НБУ. 2022 (червень). URL: https://bank.gov.ua/admin_uploads/article/FSR_2022-H1.pdf?v=4

Данилишин Б. Випробування війною: ситуації в економіці та на фінансових ринках України. Lb.ua. 2022 (червень). URL: https://lb.ua/blog/bogdan_danylysyn/523177_viprobuvannya_viynoyu_situatsii.html

Гордійчук Д. НБУ очікує інфляцію у 17% у травні і вважає, що ставки за облігаціями треба підвищувати. Epravda. 2022. URL: https://www.epravda.com.ua/news/2022/05/30/687623/

Сніжко О., Зикова О. Структура доларизації у контексті глобалізації. Вісник Київського національного університету імені Тараса Шевченка. Міжнародні відносини. 2014. № 1 (42). C. 45–50. URL: http://journals.iir. kiev.ua/index.php/knu/article/download/2731/2435

Павлиш О. Мінфін залучив від розміщення військових ОВДП 1,2 мільярда: максимальну ставку підняли до 19,25%. Epravda. 2022. URL: https://www.epravda.com.ua/news/2022/11/22/694119/

Shevchenko K. (2022) Finansovo-ekonomichna polityka za voyennoho chasu [Financial and economic policy during wartime]. Kadrovyy ekspert. Available at: https://profpressa.com/news/irino-proponuiu-rozmistiti (in Ukrainian)

Shvayka M. (2009) Amerykansʹkyy dolar — holovnyy vynuvatetsʹ provokator finansovoyi kryzy [The American dollar is the main culprit and provocateur of the financial crisis]. Zhurnal verkhovnoyi rady Ukrayiny «Viche», 1–2, 3–6. (in Ukrainian)

Ize A., Parrado E. (2006) Real Dollarization, Financial Dollarization, and Monetary Policy. Central Bank of Chile, Working Paper, 375. Available at: https://ideas.repec.org/p/chb/bcchwp/375.html

Basso Н., Calvo-Gonzalez O., Jurgilas M. (2007) Financial Dollarization: The Role of Banks and Interest Rates. ECB Working Paper Series, 748 (May), 74.

Neanidis K., Savva C. (2009) Financial dollarization: Short-run determinants in transition economies. Journal of Banking & Finance, 33 (10), 1860–1873.

Zvit pro finansovu stabilʹnistʹ (2022) [Report on financial stability]. Available at: https://bank.gov.ua/admin_uploads/article/FSR_2022-H1.pdf?v=4 (in Ukrainian)

Danylyshyn B. (2022) Vyprobuvannya viynoyu: sytuatsiyi v ekonomitsi ta na finansovykh rynkakh Ukrayiny [Testing by war: situations in the economy and financial markets of Ukraine]. Available at: https://lb.ua/blog/bogdan_danylysyn/523177_viprobuvannya_viynoyu_situatsii.html (in Ukrainian)

Hordiychuk D. (2022) NBU ochikuye inflyatsiyu u 17% u travni i vvazhaye, shcho stavky za oblihatsiyamy treba pidvyshchuvaty [NBU expects inflation of 17% in May and believes that bond rates should be increased]. Available at: https://www.epravda.com.ua/news/2022/05/30/687623/ (in Ukrainian)

Snizhko O., Zykova O. (2014) Struktura dolaryzatsiï u konteksti hlobalizatsiï [The structure of dollarization in the context of globalization]. Visnyk Kyïvsʹkoho natsionalʹnoho universytetu imeni Tarasa Shevchenka. Mizhnarodni vidnosyny, 1 (42), 45–50. Available at: http://journals.iir.kiev.ua/index.php/knu/article/download/2731/2435 (in Ukrainian)

Pavlysh O. (2022) Minfin zaluchyv vid rozmishchennya viysʹkovykh OVDP 1,2 milʹyarda: maksymalʹnu stavku pidnyaly do 19,25% [The Ministry of Finance attracted 1.2 billion from the placement of military government bonds: the maximum rate was raised to 19.25%]. Available at: https://www.epravda.com.ua/news/2022/11/22/694119/ (in Ukrainian)

Article views: 172
PDF Downloads: 106
Published
2022-10-25
How to Cite
Smoliak, V., & Soyma, S. (2022). DOLLARIZATION OF THE FINANCIAL MARKET OF UKRAINE IN THE CONDITIONS OF WAR . Economy and Society, (44). https://doi.org/10.32782/2524-0072/2022-44-114
Section
ECONOMICS