THE ROLE OF STATE INDUSTRIAL AND EXPORT POLICY IN THE RECOVERY AND MODERNIZATION OF UKRAINE’S METALLURGICAL INDUSTRY
Abstract
The article examines the role of state industrial and export policy in the recovery and modernization of Ukraine’s metallurgical industry after 2022. The relevance of the topic is determined by the strategic importance of metallurgy for the national economy and by the unprecedented losses caused by the full-scale war, including the destruction of major production facilities, disruption of export logistics, narrowing of domestic demand, and growing pressure on the industry’s resource and energy base. Under these conditions, the restoration of metallurgical production should be considered not only as a sectoral task, but also as a prerequisite for broader economic recovery, industrial resilience, and Ukraine’s integration into European value chains. The purpose of the study is to substantiate the priority directions of state industrial and export policy aimed at rebuilding production capacity, preserving external markets, and ensuring the technological renewal of the industry on innovative and low-carbon principles. The methodological basis of the research includes structural and comparative analysis, synthesis of analytical materials, examination of sectoral statistics, and generalization of policy approaches to industrial support and export promotion. The paper identifies the key wartime and post-war challenges for Ukrainian metallurgy, including the loss of part of production capacity, severe export contraction, infrastructure bottlenecks, raw material shortages, energy insecurity, and increasing exposure to new environmental and trade barriers in foreign markets. It is argued that effective recovery requires a coordinated policy framework combining investment support, infrastructure rehabilitation, export facilitation, market diversification, and incentives for technological modernization. Particular attention is paid to the prospects of transition from obsolete carbon-intensive production models to electric arc furnace technologies, direct reduced iron production, and broader decarbonization measures, which are essential for improving competitiveness and maintaining long-term access to the European Union market in the context of carbon border regulation. The practical significance of the article lies in the proposed policy priorities, which may be used in designing national industrial recovery programs, investment support mechanisms, export promotion measures, and strategic decisions related to the green transformation of Ukraine’s metallurgical sector.
References
Двуліт З.П., Андрусяк К.А. Виклики металургійної галузі України в умовах сьогодення. / Менеджмент та підприємництво в Україні: етапи становлення та проблеми розвитку. 2023. № 1(9). С. 261–268.
Даценко А. М. Аналіз сучасного стану металургійної галузі України / Економіка та суспільство. 2024. № 68. С. 243–250.
Агапова В. Українська металургія після 24 лютого: хто підставить плече атлантові? / VoxUkraine. 28.03.2023. URL: https://voxukraine.org/ukrayinska-metalurgiya-pislya-24-lyutogo-hto-pidstavyt-pleche-atlantovi (дата звернення: 05.01.2026).
Шевчук А. Українська металургія: новий етап розвитку / GMK Center. 18.07.2025. URL: https://gmk.center/ua/posts/ukrainska-metalurgiya-novij-etap-rozvitku/ (дата звернення: 10.01.2026).
Нікіфорова В. Довгострокові фактори і тенденції розвитку металургії України // Економіка промисловості. 2022. № 1(97). С. 32–60.
Центр економічної стратегії. Що, окрім війни, загрожує українській металургії? 30.10.2024. URL: https://ces.org.ua/threats_to_ukrainian_metallurgy/ (дата звернення: 15.01.2026).
Державна служба статистики України. Статистичний щорічник України за 2022 рік. Київ, 2023. URL: https://stat.gov.ua/uk/publications/ statystychnyy-shchorichnyk-ukrayiny-2022 (дата звернення: 15.01.2026).
Державна служба статистики України. Статистичний щорічник України за 2023 рік. Київ, 2024. URL: https://stat.gov.ua/uk/publications/ statystychnyy-shchorichnyk-ukrayiny-2023 (дата звернення: 15.01.2026).
Ukraine’s metals production, development projects and resources. Reuters. 2025. URL: https:// https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/ukraines-metals-production-development-projects-resources-2025-05-01/ (дата звернення: 12.01.2026).
Impact of the Russian-Ukrainian war on the steel industry. SteelRadar. 2025. URL: https://www.steelradar.com/en/impact-of-the-russian-ukrainian-war-on-the-steel-industry/ (дата звернення: 15.01.2026).
Ukraine Steel Exports Report. International Trade Administration (U.S. Department of Commerce). URL: https://www.trade.gov/data-visualization/ukraine-steel-exports-report (дата звернення: 18.01.2026).
Challenges persist for the Ukrainian steel industry. German Economic Team. NL 197, March-April 2025. URL: https://www.german-economic-team.com/en/newsletter/challenges-persist-for-the-ukrainian-steel-industry/ (дата звернення: 10.01.2026).
Продовження «митного безвізу» для української сталі є надзвичайно важливим Інтерпайп. GMK Center. 2025. 22 травня. URL: https://gmk.center/ua/news/prodovzhennya-bezmitnogo-rezhimu-dlya-ukrainskoi-metaloprodukcii-ie-vkraj-vazhlivim-interpajp/ (дата звернення: 01.12.2025).
Mykhnenko V., Devlin A. Why green steel should play a vital role in Ukraine's post-war recovery / World Economic Forum. 05.07.2024. URL: https://www.weforum.org/stories/2024/07/green-steel-vital-role-ukraine-post-war-recovery/ (дата звернення: 06.02.2026).
Metinvest. Annual Report 2024. 2025. URL: https://metinvestholding.com/Content/Entities/Report/37/en/metinvest-annual-report-2024.pdf (дата звернення: 12.01.2026).
Dvulit Z. P., Andrusiak K. A. (2023) Vyklyky metalurhiinoi haluzi Ukrainy v umovakh sohodennia [Challenges of the metallurgical industry of Ukraine in the current conditions]. Management and Entrepreneurship in Ukraine: Stages of Formation and Problems of Development, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 261–268.
Datsenko A. M. (2024) Analiz suchasnoho stanu metalurhiinoi haluzi Ukrainy [Analysis of the current state of the metallurgical industry of Ukraine]. Ekonomika ta suspilstvo, no. 68, pp. 243–250.
Ahapova V. (2023) Ukrainska metalurhiia pislia 24 liutoho: khto pidstavyt pleche atlantovi? [Ukrainian metallurgy after February 24: who will lend Atlas a shoulder?]. VoxUkraine, March 28. Available at: https://voxukraine.org/ukrayinska-metalurgiya-pislya-24-lyutogo-hto-pidstavyt-pleche-atlantovi (accessed January 5, 2026).
Shevchuk A. (2025) Ukrainska metalurhiia: novyi etap rozvytku [Ukrainian metallurgy: a new stage of development]. GMK Center, July 18. Available at: https://gmk.center/ua/posts/ukrainska-metalurgiya-novij-etap-rozvitku/ (accessed January 10, 2026).
Nikiforova V. (2022) Dovhostrokovi faktory i tendentsii rozvytku metalurhii Ukrainy [Long-term factors and trends of the Ukrainian steel industry development]. Ekonomika promyslovosti – Economy of Industry, no. 1(97), pp. 32–60.
Tsentr ekonomichnoi stratehii (2024) Shcho, okrim viiny, zahrozhuie ukrainskii metalurhii? [What, apart from the war, threatens Ukrainian metallurgy?]. Available at: https://ces.org.ua/threats_to_ukrainian_metallurgy/ (accessed January 15, 2026).
Derzhavna sluzhba statystyky Ukrainy (2023) Statystychnyi shchorichnyk Ukrainy, 2022 [Statistical Yearbook of Ukraine, 2022]. Kyiv: Derzhavna sluzhba statystyky Ukrainy. Available at: https://stat.gov.ua/uk/publications/statystychnyy-shchorichnyk-ukrayiny-2022 (accessed January 15, 2026).
Derzhavna sluzhba statystyky Ukrainy (2024) Statystychnyi shchorichnyk Ukrainy, 2023 [Statistical Yearbook of Ukraine, 2023]. Kyiv: Derzhavna sluzhba statystyky Ukrainy. Available at: https://stat.gov.ua/uk/publications/statystychnyy-shchorichnyk-ukrayiny-2023 (accessed January 15, 2026).
Reuters (2025) Ukraine’s metals production, development projects and resources. May 1. Available at: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/ukraines-metals-production-development-projects-resources-2025-05-01/ (accessed January 12, 2026).
SteelRadar (2025) Impact of the Russian-Ukrainian war on the steel industry. March 5. Available at: https://www.steelradar.com/en/impact-of-the-russian-ukrainian-war-on-the-steel-industry/ (accessed January 15, 2026).
International Trade Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce. Ukraine Steel Exports Report. Available at: https://www.trade.gov/data-visualization/ukraine-steel-exports-report (accessed January 18, 2026).
Tahmisoğlu Y. (2025) Challenges persist for the Ukrainian steel industry. German Economic Team, NL 197, March-April. Available at: https://www.german-economic-team.com/en/newsletter/challenges-persist-for-the-ukrainian-steel-industry/ (accessed January 10, 2026).
Yermolenko H. (2025) Prodovzhennia bezmytnoho rezhymu dlia ukrainskoi metaloproduktsii ye vkrai vazhlyvym – Interpipe [Extension of the duty-free regime for Ukrainian steel products is extremely important – Interpipe]. GMK Center, May 22. Available at: https://gmk.center/ua/news/prodovzhennya-bezmitnogo-rezhimu-dlya-ukrainskoi-metaloprodukcii-ie-vkraj-vazhlivim-interpajp/ (accessed December 1, 2025).
Mykhnenko V., Devlin A. (2024) Why green steel should play a vital role in Ukraine's post-war recovery. World Economic Forum, July 5. Available at: https://www.weforum.org/stories/2024/07/green-steel-vital-role-ukraine-post-war-recovery/ (accessed February 6, 2026).
Metinvest (2025) Annual Report 2024. Available at: https://metinvestholding.com/Content/Entities/Report/37/en/metinvest-annual-report-2024.pdf (accessed January 12, 2026
Copyright (c) 2026 Віктор Товстун

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

