SYNERGISTIC EFFECTS OF TRADE AND ECONOMIC COOPERATION FACTORS ON THE EXPORT POTENTIAL OF REGIONS IN THE CONTEXT OF ENSURING FOREIGN ECONOMIC SECURITY
Abstract
The article is devoted to highlighting the results of research aimed at improving and further developing existing approaches to setting and solving the problem of assessing and analyzing the synergistic effects of the influence of trade and economic cooperation factors on the export potential of regions in the context of ensuring the foreign economic security of the regions of the western part of Ukraine. The influence of trade and economic cooperation factors on the export potential of the regions of the western part of Ukraine in relation to the export potential indicators of other regions is considered. The use of simulation models allowed to obtain competitive scientific results, which can become a methodological basis for solving the problems of increasing the efficiency of using the economic potential of the relevant regions in order to actualize their export opportunities and ensure the achievement of the goals of foreign economic security. To assess and analyze the possible synergistic effects of the influence of foreign economic activity factors on the export potential of the regions of western part of Ukraine, the analysis also included an indicator of the volume of real imports, which allowed us to take into account the possible effects of the external environment on the export capabilities of the studied regions. The analysis of factors of direct and indirect influence on the development of export potential was carried out using indirect beta coefficients. The results confirmed the previous conclusions about the mutual influence between the export potentials of the regions of the western part of Ukraine. The developed models allowed us to note the absence of an unambiguous positive influence of positive trends in the development of the export potential of individual regions on others in all cases. This confirms the need for further analysis of the impact of key endogenous and exogenous factors on the formation of the export component of the potential of foreign economic activity of regions. Such an approach will allow us to construct us a qualitatively new approach to the empirical solution of the problem of determining and using the competitive advantages of each individual region and creating programs of interaction between regions with the aim of further developing international trade and economic relations and ensuring foreign economic security at the regional and national levels.
References
Лупак Р.Л., Куцик В.І. Стратегічні орієнтири державної політики зміцнення зовнішньоторговельної безпеки регіонів України в умовах повоєнного відновлення. Вісник Львівського торговельно-економічного університету. Економічні науки. 2025. № 82. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32782/2522-1205-2025-82-01
Zamfirache A., Tache I. Enhancing food security in an Asian regional organization: the case of the Economic Cooperation Organization. Economies. 2025. Vol. 13, № 9. Article 274. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13090274
Герман Л., Уніят А. Економічні ефекти торгівлі та міграції в контексті міжнародної стратифікації. Інноваційна економіка. 2025. № 2. С. 34–42. DOI: https://doi.org/10.37332/2309-1533.2025.2.4
Bi X. Synergistic effects of FDI and cross-border e-commerce in China’s digital economy: an empirical analysis based on inter-provincial panel data. Journal of Innovation and Development. 2025. Vol. 12, №. 2. P. 40–50. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54097/d94rba09
Hou J., He Y., Cao Y. Study on the synergistic effect of regional electronic commerce and regional economy from the perspective of coupling. Journal of Education, Humanities and Social Sciences. 2022. № 2. P. 7–16. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54097/ehss.v2i.713
Пирог О. В., Зацепило А. І. Оцінка експортного потенціалу регіонів України. Економічний простір. 2009. № 24. С. 146–148.
Дьомін С. Кількісна оцінка експортного потенціалу регіону. Вісник Національної юридичної академії України імені Ярослава Мудрого. 2011. № 6. С. 114–121.
Пілько А.Д., Лесів І.Б. Моделювання процесів оцінювання та аналізу експортного потенціалу регіону. Проблеми економіки. 2020. №1 (43). С.325–331. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32983/2222-0712-2020-1-325-331
Khorobchuk O., Pilko A. Quantitative assessment of the region's export potential. Věda a perspektivy. 2025. №11 (54). P. 19–29. DOI: https://doi.org/10.52058/2695-1592-2025-11(54)-19-29
Хоробчук О. І., Пілько А. Д. Моделі аналізу впливу ключових факторів на експортний потенціал регіонів. Управління змінами та інновації. 2025. №16. С. 54–61. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32782/CMI/2025-16-8
Shrestha N. Detecting multicollinearity in regression analysis. American Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics. 2020. Vol. 8, №2. P. 39–42. DOI: https://doi.org/10.12691/ajams-8-2-1
Sarina, Sunusi N., Herdiani E. T. An estimator for simultaneous equation model using two-stage ridge method (case study on farmer exchange rate data in Indonesia). International Journal of Research Publications. 2022. Vol. 105, №1. DOI: https://doi.org/10.47119/ijrp1001051720223629
Liao Y., Liu J., Coffman D. L., Li R. Varying coefficient mediation model and application to analysis of behavioral economics data. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics. 2022. Vol. 40, № 4. P. 1759–1771. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2021.1971089
Третяк В. В., Рязанова Н. О. Визначення перспектив реалізації експортного потенціалу регіону (на прикладі Луганської області) : монографія. Луганськ : Вид-во СНУ ім. В. Даля, 2013. 184 с. URL: https://dspace.luguniv.edu.ua/xmlui/handle/123456789/983 (дата звернення: 19.02.2026).
Malyarets L., Otenko V., Otenko I., Fatyanov D. Monitoring the development of the export and import potential of the regions. Montenegrin Journal of Economics. 2022. Vol. 18, №2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.14254/1800-5845/2022.18-2.4
Iatsenko O. Defining perspective directions of export diversification of Ukraine. Scientific Notes. 2020. №21. P. 281–292. DOI: http://doi.org/10.33111/vz_kneu.21.20.01.24.166.172
Lupak, R. L., & Kutsyk, V. I. (2025). Stratehichni oriientyry derzhavnoi polityky zmitsnennia zovnishnotorhovelnoi bezpeky rehioniv Ukrainy v umovakh povojennoho vidnovlennia. [Strategic guidelines of the state policy of strengthening the foreign trade security of the regions of Ukraine in the conditions of post-war recovery] Visnyk Lvivskoho torhovelno-ekonomichnoho universytetu. Ekonomichni nauky, (82). https://doi.org/10.32782/2522-1205-2025-82-01 (in Ukrainian)
Zamfirache, A., & Tache, I. (2025). Enhancing food security in an Asian regional organization: The case of the Economic Cooperation Organization. Economies, 13(9), Article 274. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13090274
Herman, L., & Uniiat, A. (2025). Ekonomichni efekty torhivli ta mihratsii v konteksti mizhnarodnoi stratyfikatsii. [Economic effects of trade and migration in the context of international stratification] Innovatsiina ekonomika, (2), 34–42. https://doi.org/10.37332/2309-1533.2025.2.4 (in Ukrainian)
Bi, X. (2025). Synergistic effects of FDI and cross-border e-commerce in China’s digital economy: An empirical analysis based on inter-provincial panel data. Journal of Innovation and Development, 12(2), 40–50. https://doi.org/10.54097/d94rba09
Hou, J., He, Y., & Cao, Y. (2022). Study on the synergistic effect of regional electronic commerce and regional economy from the perspective of coupling. Journal of Education, Humanities and Social Sciences, 2, 7–16. https://doi.org/10.54097/ehss.v2i.713
Pyroh, O. V., & Zatsepylo, A. I. (2009). Otsinka eksportnoho potentsialu rehioniv Ukrainy. [Assessment of the export potential of Ukrainian regions] Ekonomichnyi prostir, (24), 146–148. (in Ukrainian)
Diomin, S. (2011). Kilkisna otsinka eksportnoho potentsialu rehionu. [Quantifying the region's export potential] Visnyk Natsionalnoi yurydychnoi akademii Ukrainy imeni Yaroslava Mudroho, (6), 114–121. (in Ukrainian)
Pilko, A. D., & Lesiv, I. B. (2020). Modeliuvannia protsesiv otsiniuvannia ta analizu eksportnoho potentsialu rehionu. [Modeling the processes of assessing and analyzing the region's export potential] Problemy ekonomiky, 1(43), 325–331. https://doi.org/10.32983/2222-0712-2020-1-325-331 (in Ukrainian)
Khorobchuk, O., & Pilko, A. (2025). Quantitative assessment of the region’s export potential. Věda a perspektivy, 11(54), 19–29. https://doi.org/10.52058/2695-1592-2025-11(54)-19-29
Khorobchuk, O.I., & Pilko, A.D. (2025). Modeli analizu vplyvu kliuchovykh faktoriv na eksportnyi potentsial rehioniv. [Models for analyzing the impact of key factors on the export potential of regions] Upravlinnia zminamy ta innovatsii, (16), 54–61. https://doi.org/10.32782/CMI/2025-16-8 (in Ukrainian)
Shrestha, N. (2020). Detecting multicollinearity in regression analysis. American Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, 8(2), 39–42. https://doi.org/10.12691/ajams-8-2-1
Sarina, Sunusi, N., & Herdiani, E. T. (2022). An estimator for simultaneous equation model using two-stage ridge method (case study on farmer exchange rate data in Indonesia). International Journal of Research Publications, 105(1). https://doi.org/10.47119/ijrp1001051720223629
Liao, Y., Liu, J., Coffman, D. L., & Li, R. (2022). Varying coefficient mediation model and application to analysis of behavioral economics data. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 40(4), 1759–1771. https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2021.1971089
Tretiak, V. V., & Riazanova, N. O. (2013). Vyznachennia perspektyv realizatsii eksportnoho potentsialu rehionu (na prykladi Luhanskoi oblasti). [Determining the prospects for realizing the region's export potential (using the example of Luhansk region)] Luhansk: Vyd-vo SNU im. V. Dalia. https://dspace.luguniv.edu.ua/xmlui/handle/123456789/983 (in Ukrainian)
Malyarets, L., Otenko, V., Otenko, I., & Fatyanov, D. (2022). Monitoring the development of the export and import potential of the regions. Montenegrin Journal of Economics, 18(2). https://doi.org/10.14254/1800-5845/2022.18-2.4
Iatsenko, O. (2020). Defining perspective directions of export diversification of Ukraine. Scientific Notes, (21), 281–292. http://doi.org/10.33111/vz_kneu.21.20.01.24.166.172
Copyright (c) 2026 Андрій Пілько, Олег Хоробчук

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

