DIGITAL ECONOMY OF UKRAINE IN THE ERA OF INTEGRATED SINGULARITY
Abstract
The era of integrated singularity envisions not only the acceleration of artificial intelligence and automation development and implementation but also the formation of a truly global digital economy where data, computational power, and human talent become key production resources. For Ukraine, this transformation is both a challenge and a historic opportunity. Despite war destruction and depopulation, the country has unique prerequisites: a globally recognized IT sector, competitive human capital, and growing integration with digital initiatives by the EU, the USA, as well as governmental, international, and private initiatives. This study addresses three strategic questions: a) how Ukraine can best leverage the inevitability of integrated singularity; b) how to become a vital node in the global digital economic infrastructure; c) what practical steps are necessary now to transform Ukraine into a digital hub, a talent hub, and a tax haven for global digital players. The study is aimed at creating an author's scenario parameterization of digital transformation, which combines five system indicators (the share of the digital economy in GDP, the volume of R&D investments, the human resource capacity of the IT market, the infrastructure capacity of data centers, the export of digital services) and allows modeling three alternative development trajectories: pessimistic, basic and optimistic. The proposed tool provides the ability to predict "managed futures" and can be used as an analytical module for state digital policy and strategic management in the IT sector. The results obtained demonstrate that the deviation between scenarios is determined not by external shocks, but by the depth of management interventions - tax, educational, infrastructure and innovation. This confirms the systemic nature of digital transformation, within which a delay in one element (human resource policy, R&D, data infrastructure) causes a cascading loss of effect on others.
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