INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS AND STATISTICAL METHODS REGARDING RISK ASSESSMENT IN THE ACTIVITIES OF INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS

Abstract

The problem of risk measurement has always required attention, and methods of reducing the impact of risks on the results of financial activity attract the attention of economists both from a theoretical and practical point of view. A number of bankruptcies of companies, banks, hedge funds and institutional investors that have been observed in recent years have contributed to increased attention to this problem. Note that the perspective, multifacetedness and relevance of the problem of risk assessment and management using statistical methods has a large number of aspects that require careful research. The assessment of financial risks of the activities of international organizations is also a relevant issue, as it is often aimed at their development and survival. This article analyzes the concept of financial risk, examines the existing statistical methods of risk assessment, international standards for risk assessment, their advantages and disadvantages. The analysis of existing risks was carried out and the practical use of statistical methods for risk assessment in the activities of international organizations was proposed. Considerable attention is paid to solving issues of statistical methods of risk assessment, as evidenced by the research of domestic and foreign scientists. Having processed various sources and publications, it is possible to conclude that there is no integral theory of financial risk assessment in domestic science and the optimal statistical method for its assessment in the activities of both domestic and international organizations has not been determined. The purpose of this study is to analyze and refine existing statistical methods, formulate one's own vision regarding this problem, justify the feasibility of using these methods in specific conditions. In the course of the research, economic-statistical, analog and expert methods were used. The practical value of the article consists in the fact that the article proposed, in accordance with international standards, for the assessment of financial risks in international organizations, to compile a two-level model for assessing financial risks, gave recommendations for assessing risk with the help of this module, and proposed a model of the probability of the occurrence of risks and their evaluations. We consider it expedient to extend the study of the issue of financial risk assessment, regarding the use of digital technologies, with the aim of timely clarifying the sources of financial risks.